Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Kuznetsov 44.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 90.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 80.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Last 8: Larkin 6-2 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Kuznetsov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
44.4% (980)
+4.1%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
38.7% (31)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
42.9% (7)
+5.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Kuznetsov is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (673).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Home
51.4% (652)
46.4% (491)
Away
48.5% (662)
42.1% (527)
By Period
Larkin
Kuznetsov
P1
49.1%
44.8%
P2
52.0%
44.6%
P3
48.0%
44.0%
OT
52.6%
23.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 20, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |