Dylan Larkin vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Kuznetsov 44.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 38-16 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 97.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 95.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 93.9%
93.9%
6.1%
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
16
(54 meetings)
38
16
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
6
Larkin
Kuznetsov
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
15
1
Larkin
Kuznetsov
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
9
Larkin
Kuznetsov
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
43.9% (8,296)
+7.8%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
49.4% (633)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
38.2% (272)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Home
54.0% (6,238)
44.8% (4,622)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
43.4% (4,579)
By Period
Larkin
Kuznetsov
P1
52.7%
43.6%
P2
53.1%
45.8%
P3
52.1%
42.8%
OT
58.4%
43.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 19, 2022 | OT | 03:29 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:22 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |