Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Kuznetsov 45.6% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 54.1%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 52.2%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 53.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Kuznetsov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
44.4% (613)
+11.5%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
58.8% (68)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
36.4% (66)
+9.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Home
56.0% (654)
48.6% (370)
Away
54.8% (639)
41.4% (377)
By Period
Larkin
Kuznetsov
P1
54.4%
44.3%
P2
55.9%
49.6%
P3
55.2%
41.4%
OT
64.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |