Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Kuznetsov 44.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 77.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 96.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 90.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
3
(17 meetings)
14
3
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Larkin 9-1 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin
Kuznetsov
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Kuznetsov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
1
Larkin
Kuznetsov
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
43.3% (980)
+8.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
47.0% (115)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
40.8% (71)
+6.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kuznetsov
Home
55.6% (662)
43.9% (602)
Away
48.3% (542)
43.1% (564)
By Period
Larkin
Kuznetsov
P1
49.9%
43.2%
P2
52.7%
41.5%
P3
53.0%
45.2%
OT
68.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |