Dylan Larkin vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 83.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Larkin
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
Last 6: Larkin 5-1 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Gaudreau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
49.0% (408)
+6.9%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
68.0% (25)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
49.1% (114)
-2.9%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gaudreau
Home
56.0% (654)
50.8% (319)
Away
54.8% (639)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Larkin
Gaudreau
P1
54.4%
53.4%
P2
55.9%
47.4%
P3
55.2%
50.0%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |