Dylan Larkin vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 62.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Larkin
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
18
(41 meetings)
23
18
Larkin
Gaudreau
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
4
Larkin
Gaudreau
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
9
Larkin
Gaudreau
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Larkin
Gaudreau
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
48.7% (3,745)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
53.9% (219)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
46.6% (789)
+3.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gaudreau
Home
54.0% (6,238)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Larkin
Gaudreau
P1
52.7%
49.7%
P2
53.1%
47.3%
P3
52.1%
49.1%
OT
58.4%
36.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |