Dylan Larkin vs Frederick Gaudreau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Gaudreau 49.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 66.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 82.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 68.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Larkin
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larkin
Gaudreau
Last 7: Larkin 2-5 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
3
Larkin
Gaudreau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
2
Larkin
Gaudreau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
48.4% (770)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
58.7% (46)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
50.3% (199)
-1.6%
On even strength, Larkin has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gaudreau
Home
56.6% (700)
51.1% (507)
Away
52.1% (655)
47.4% (508)
By Period
Larkin
Gaudreau
P1
55.4%
49.4%
P2
54.7%
47.4%
P3
52.7%
51.2%
OT
59.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |