Dylan Larkin vs Frederick Gaudreau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 94.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 72.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 83.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Larkin
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Larkin
Gaudreau
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Gaudreau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
49.2% (858)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
39.0% (41)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
46.0% (198)
+9.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gaudreau
Home
54.7% (783)
47.1% (546)
Away
54.3% (816)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Larkin
Gaudreau
P1
55.9%
46.8%
P2
56.1%
46.8%
P3
51.1%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |