Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Miller 53.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Larkin
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Miller
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Larkin
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
55.5% (933)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
61.6% (73)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
45.8% (227)
+1.6%
On power play, Miller has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Larkin
Miller
Home
55.6% (662)
53.5% (578)
Away
48.3% (542)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Larkin
Miller
P1
49.9%
58.3%
P2
52.7%
53.5%
P3
53.0%
50.1%
OT
68.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |