Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 55.0%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Miller 54.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 50.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 59.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 57.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Larkin
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Larkin
Miller
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Miller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Miller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Larkin
Miller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
55.7% (589)
-2.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
60.9% (138)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
47.2% (159)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Larkin
Miller
Home
56.6% (700)
56.1% (440)
Away
52.1% (655)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Larkin
Miller
P1
55.4%
52.3%
P2
54.7%
54.7%
P3
52.7%
57.2%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |