Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Miller 54.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 33-30 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 57.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 50.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 55.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Larkin
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
30
(63 meetings)
33
30
Larkin
Miller
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Larkin
Miller
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
11
Larkin
Miller
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
9
Larkin
Miller
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
55.2% (6,648)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
57.9% (1,285)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
48.2% (913)
+2.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Home / Away
Larkin
Miller
Home
54.0% (6,238)
55.9% (4,578)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
53.8% (4,268)
By Period
Larkin
Miller
P1
52.7%
54.7%
P2
53.1%
55.6%
P3
52.1%
54.0%
OT
58.4%
62.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |