Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs McBain 45.9% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 64.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 56.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Larkin
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
46.3% (568)
+9.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
37.5% (8)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
37.8% (74)
+8.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Larkin
McBain
Home
56.0% (654)
50.6% (330)
Away
54.8% (639)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Larkin
McBain
P1
54.4%
45.4%
P2
55.9%
44.5%
P3
55.2%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%