Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs McBain 49.9% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 51.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Larkin
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
51.2% (424)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
46.2% (13)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
27.3% (22)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Larkin
McBain
Home
54.7% (783)
53.6% (235)
Away
54.3% (816)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Larkin
McBain
P1
55.9%
48.6%
P2
56.1%
50.9%
P3
51.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%