Dylan Larkin vs Jack McBain

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs McBain 46.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 95.0%
Defensive zone Larkin 79.3%
Neutral zone Larkin 85.6%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Larkin McBain
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 2 (11 meetings)
9
2
Larkin McBain
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 McBain

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
0
Larkin McBain
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Larkin McBain
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
48.0% (2,298)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
49.0% (51)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
35.7% (308)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McBain shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Larkin
McBain
Home
54.0% (6,238)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Larkin
McBain
P1
52.7%
46.7%
P2
53.1%
47.5%
P3
52.1%
45.6%
OT
58.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.7%
McBain
50.0%
52.0%
46.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 4, 2026 3 14:16 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2026 3 03:45 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2026 3 00:47 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 4, 2026 1 14:05 Defensive Jack McBain
Jan 17, 2023 2 01:08 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 17, 2023 1 09:51 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 17, 2023 1 06:33 Defensive Jack McBain
Jan 17, 2023 1 06:26 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 17, 2023 1 01:15 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 25, 2022 2 05:45 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 25, 2022 1 10:48 Offensive Dylan Larkin