Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Toews 57.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 82.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 79.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 78.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Larkin
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Larkin
Toews
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Larkin
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Larkin
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
58.4% (1,115)
-9.9%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
61.3% (256)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
50.5% (182)
-1.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Larkin
Toews
Home
51.4% (652)
59.5% (783)
Away
48.5% (662)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Larkin
Toews
P1
49.1%
58.4%
P2
52.0%
59.4%
P3
48.0%
55.9%
OT
52.6%
61.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |