Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Norris 51.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 61.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Larkin
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Larkin
Norris
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
1
Larkin
Norris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
4
Larkin
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
51.2% (886)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
59.0% (83)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
38.8% (67)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Larkin
Norris
Home
55.6% (662)
55.6% (487)
Away
48.3% (542)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Larkin
Norris
P1
49.9%
54.8%
P2
52.7%
51.3%
P3
53.0%
48.0%
OT
68.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |