Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Norris 52.9% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 52.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Larkin
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
63.9% (36)
-10.3%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
50.0% (2)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
47.4% (19)
+1.3%
On even strength, Norris has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Larkin
Norris
Home
56.6% (700)
62.2% (37)
Away
52.1% (655)
50.0% (20)
By Period
Larkin
Norris
P1
55.4%
64.3%
P2
54.7%
59.1%
P3
52.7%
52.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%