Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Norris 49.7% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Norris 53.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Larkin
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
50.0% (356)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
48.7% (76)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
42.9% (7)
+5.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Larkin
Norris
Home
52.4% (647)
47.2% (193)
Away
52.7% (643)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Larkin
Norris
P1
52.2%
53.8%
P2
53.1%
48.2%
P3
51.7%
47.9%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%