Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Stenlund 52.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 81.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 60.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Larkin
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Larkin
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Larkin
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
58.2% (359)
-4.6%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
47.1% (17)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
42.0% (150)
+6.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stenlund
Home
56.6% (700)
53.6% (261)
Away
52.1% (655)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Larkin
Stenlund
P1
55.4%
55.4%
P2
54.7%
51.5%
P3
52.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |