Dylan Larkin vs Kevin Stenlund

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 55.0% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor Stenlund leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone Stenlund 52.7%
Defensive zone Stenlund 86.9%
Neutral zone Stenlund 75.2%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Larkin Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 11 (16 meetings)
5
11
Larkin Stenlund
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Stenlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
8
Larkin Stenlund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
3
Larkin Stenlund
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
54.4% (592)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
42.9% (14)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
44.1% (229)
+2.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stenlund
Home
56.0% (654)
50.7% (402)
Away
54.8% (639)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Larkin
Stenlund
P1
54.4%
56.5%
P2
55.9%
52.4%
P3
55.2%
45.2%
OT
64.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
55.4%
Stenlund
52.0%
59.0%
51.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 30, 2024 OT 00:34 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 30, 2024 3 10:50 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 30, 2024 2 18:04 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 30, 2024 1 09:47 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 2, 2024 2 05:04 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 2, 2024 2 00:54 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 17, 2024 OT 00:00 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Jan 17, 2024 3 09:18 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 17, 2024 2 05:38 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Jan 17, 2024 1 19:51 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 17, 2024 1 19:35 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 17, 2024 1 12:36 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Nov 2, 2023 3 15:42 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 2, 2023 3 08:12 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Nov 2, 2023 2 08:52 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Nov 2, 2023 1 04:29 Defensive Kevin Stenlund