Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Duchene 52.8% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 76.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Larkin
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
46.9% (162)
+4.9%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
73.2% (56)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
100.0% (2)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Larkin
Duchene
Home
55.6% (662)
58.4% (125)
Away
48.3% (542)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Larkin
Duchene
P1
49.9%
56.9%
P2
52.7%
52.5%
P3
53.0%
51.9%
OT
68.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%