Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.7%). Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Domi 53.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 53.7%
Defensive zone
Domi 51.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Larkin
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Domi
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Larkin
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
53.8% (847)
-0.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
52.1% (96)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
57.1% (7)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Larkin
Domi
Home
56.6% (700)
53.9% (445)
Away
52.1% (655)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Larkin
Domi
P1
55.4%
51.4%
P2
54.7%
55.3%
P3
52.7%
54.7%
OT
59.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Max Domi |