Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Domi 50.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 69.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 82.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 73.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Larkin
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Larkin
Domi
Last 10: Larkin 9-1 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Domi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
2
Larkin
Domi
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
49.7% (499)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
56.8% (44)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
0.0% (1)
+55.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Larkin
Domi
Home
54.7% (783)
51.0% (298)
Away
54.3% (816)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Larkin
Domi
P1
55.9%
54.8%
P2
56.1%
48.9%
P3
51.1%
46.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |