Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Domi 50.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 53.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.5%
Result
Max Domi favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Larkin
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Larkin
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
50.4% (254)
+1.3%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
59.3% (27)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Larkin
Domi
Home
52.4% (647)
50.0% (174)
Away
52.7% (643)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Larkin
Domi
P1
52.2%
45.7%
P2
53.1%
51.5%
P3
51.7%
57.3%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Max Domi |