Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Granlund 48.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 55.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 53.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Larkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
48.7% (446)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
56.6% (99)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
31.1% (61)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Larkin
Granlund
Home
52.4% (647)
53.3% (255)
Away
52.7% (643)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Larkin
Granlund
P1
52.2%
51.3%
P2
53.1%
48.8%
P3
51.7%
44.4%
OT
61.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |