Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Granlund 47.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 82.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 75.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Larkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Granlund
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
47.7% (1,001)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
53.4% (73)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
40.2% (132)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Larkin
Granlund
Home
55.6% (662)
45.9% (582)
Away
48.3% (542)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Larkin
Granlund
P1
49.9%
48.6%
P2
52.7%
46.7%
P3
53.0%
46.9%
OT
68.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |