Dylan Larkin vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Granlund 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 39-31 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 69.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Larkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
31
(70 meetings)
39
31
Larkin
Granlund
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
8
9
Larkin
Granlund
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
15
Larkin
Granlund
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
15
7
Larkin
Granlund
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
48.5% (6,718)
+3.2%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.7% (748)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
43.6% (635)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Home / Away
Larkin
Granlund
Home
54.0% (6,238)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Larkin
Granlund
P1
52.7%
48.7%
P2
53.1%
48.7%
P3
52.1%
48.2%
OT
58.4%
44.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |