Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Granlund 45.7% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 84.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 68.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Larkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
46.8% (295)
+6.8%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
38.5% (26)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
36.5% (63)
+12.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Granlund is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Larkin
Granlund
Home
56.6% (700)
47.8% (178)
Away
52.1% (655)
41.7% (206)
By Period
Larkin
Granlund
P1
55.4%
44.7%
P2
54.7%
42.9%
P3
52.7%
45.7%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |