Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Granlund 47.0% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 51.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 61.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Larkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Larkin
Granlund
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Larkin
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
Granlund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
3
Larkin
Granlund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
46.7% (885)
+9.2%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
44.9% (69)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
49.0% (98)
-2.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Larkin
Granlund
Home
56.0% (654)
51.1% (495)
Away
54.8% (639)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Larkin
Granlund
P1
54.4%
49.9%
P2
55.9%
46.4%
P3
55.2%
44.3%
OT
64.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |