Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Granlund 46.1% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 80.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 92.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 87.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Larkin
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Larkin
Granlund
Last 8: Larkin 7-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
46.4% (235)
+6.5%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
43.6% (39)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
21.4% (14)
+33.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Granlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Larkin
Granlund
Home
55.8% (805)
42.0% (143)
Away
53.2% (782)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Larkin
Granlund
P1
55.2%
36.0%
P2
53.3%
44.2%
P3
55.1%
53.4%
OT
51.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:09 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |