Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Barron 47.9% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Barron 53.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.1%
Neutral zone
Barron 52.4%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Larkin
Barron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
45.8% (118)
+10.1%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
100.0% (1)
-42.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
46.7% (15)
-0.5%
On power play, Barron has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Barron is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Larkin
Barron
Home
56.0% (654)
48.4% (64)
Away
54.8% (639)
44.3% (70)
By Period
Larkin
Barron
P1
54.4%
52.1%
P2
55.9%
46.4%
P3
55.2%
37.9%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.3%