Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Barron 51.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 57.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Larkin
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Barron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Larkin
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
52.6% (152)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
45.5% (11)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Barron is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Larkin
Barron
Home
54.7% (783)
46.1% (76)
Away
54.3% (816)
57.5% (87)
By Period
Larkin
Barron
P1
55.9%
63.0%
P2
56.1%
51.0%
P3
51.1%
45.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |