Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 56.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 81.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
51.3% (904)
+0.4%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
49.8% (265)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
36.8% (57)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
52.4% (647)
50.6% (603)
Away
52.7% (643)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
52.2%
52.3%
P2
53.1%
47.5%
P3
51.7%
51.1%
OT
61.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |