Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 64-48 in 112 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
48
(112 meetings)
64
48
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
23
21
Larkin
Suzuki
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
26
10
Larkin
Suzuki
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
15
17
Larkin
Suzuki
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
49.4% (6,327)
+2.3%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
50.7% (1,338)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
43.6% (456)
+6.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
54.0% (6,238)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
52.7%
48.8%
P2
53.1%
49.1%
P3
52.1%
50.2%
OT
58.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |