Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.3%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 50.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 56.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
6
Larkin
Suzuki
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
5
Larkin
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
51.3% (1,096)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
59.9% (157)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
56.9% (58)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
56.0% (654)
54.2% (638)
Away
54.8% (639)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
54.4%
51.5%
P2
55.9%
53.3%
P3
55.2%
52.4%
OT
64.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | OT | 04:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |