Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 59.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 72.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
17
(36 meetings)
19
17
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
10
Larkin
Suzuki
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
2
Larkin
Suzuki
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
5
Larkin
Suzuki
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
52.4% (981)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
50.7% (304)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
36.4% (33)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
54.7% (783)
53.2% (645)
Away
54.3% (816)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
55.9%
48.9%
P2
56.1%
51.5%
P3
51.1%
54.9%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |