Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 80.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 76.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Larkin
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
3
Larkin
Suzuki
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
47.0% (1,066)
+6.6%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
49.5% (204)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
46.6% (131)
+2.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
56.6% (700)
49.4% (686)
Away
52.1% (655)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
55.4%
45.6%
P2
54.7%
46.9%
P3
52.7%
49.8%
OT
59.1%
38.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:05 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |