Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Roy 48.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 83.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Larkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Larkin
Roy
Last 7: Larkin 5-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Larkin
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
49.5% (746)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.7% (75)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
42.7% (110)
+4.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roy
Home
55.6% (662)
47.7% (491)
Away
48.3% (542)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Larkin
Roy
P1
49.9%
51.1%
P2
52.7%
44.6%
P3
53.0%
50.9%
OT
68.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |