Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Roy 48.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 89.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 63.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Larkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Larkin
Roy
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Larkin
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
48.3% (633)
+5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
52.1% (48)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
43.7% (87)
+5.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roy
Home
56.6% (700)
50.8% (376)
Away
52.1% (655)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Larkin
Roy
P1
55.4%
53.8%
P2
54.7%
43.5%
P3
52.7%
46.4%
OT
59.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |