Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Faksa 53.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 73.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 57.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Larkin
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Larkin
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
56.4% (401)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
77.8% (9)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
45.5% (110)
+0.7%
On power play, Faksa has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Larkin
Faksa
Home
56.0% (654)
49.0% (249)
Away
54.8% (639)
59.4% (271)
By Period
Larkin
Faksa
P1
54.4%
58.2%
P2
55.9%
53.6%
P3
55.2%
52.4%
OT
64.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |