Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Faksa 56.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.1%
Defensive zone
Faksa 72.0%
Neutral zone
Faksa 60.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Larkin
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
56.9% (671)
-4.3%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
85.7% (7)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
55.0% (80)
+0.9%
On power play, Faksa has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Larkin
Faksa
Home
54.7% (783)
59.5% (375)
Away
54.3% (816)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Larkin
Faksa
P1
55.9%
61.2%
P2
56.1%
54.5%
P3
51.1%
55.5%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |