Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.4%). Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 30 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Faksa 52.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 44-35 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 74.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 52.4%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Larkin
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
44
(79 meetings)
35
44
Larkin
Faksa
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
7
Larkin
Faksa
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
7
23
Larkin
Faksa
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
12
14
Larkin
Faksa
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
52.8% (6,681)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
57.7% (291)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
49.3% (1,372)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Larkin
Faksa
Home
54.0% (6,238)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Larkin
Faksa
P1
52.7%
53.0%
P2
53.1%
52.5%
P3
52.1%
52.0%
OT
58.4%
45.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |