Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Faksa 53.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.0%
Defensive zone
Faksa 66.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Larkin
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Larkin
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
56.4% (289)
-4.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
0.0% (2)
+58.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
49.2% (126)
-1.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Larkin
Faksa
Home
52.4% (647)
54.9% (182)
Away
52.7% (643)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Larkin
Faksa
P1
52.2%
61.1%
P2
53.1%
51.3%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |