Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Strome 45.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 62.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Strome
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Larkin
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Larkin
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
44.4% (568)
+4.1%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
52.5% (61)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
31.0% (42)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
51.4% (652)
42.8% (367)
Away
48.5% (662)
46.1% (304)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
49.1%
41.1%
P2
52.0%
44.9%
P3
48.0%
46.6%
OT
52.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |