Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Strome 46.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 83.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 79.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
46.4% (371)
+9.5%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
43.3% (97)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
55.6% (18)
-9.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
56.0% (654)
47.6% (225)
Away
54.8% (639)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
54.4%
45.4%
P2
55.9%
47.6%
P3
55.2%
45.2%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |