Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Strome 42.3% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 56.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 53.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
7
Larkin
Strome
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
Strome
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
41.2% (1,040)
+11.4%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
43.0% (151)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
51.4% (35)
+4.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
54.7% (783)
40.1% (581)
Away
54.3% (816)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
55.9%
41.4%
P2
56.1%
42.9%
P3
51.1%
40.5%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 02:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 02:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |