Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Strome 44.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 39-38 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 67.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
38
(77 meetings)
39
38
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
16
21
Larkin
Strome
37 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Larkin
Strome
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
6
Larkin
Strome
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
44.1% (6,839)
+7.6%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
49.3% (854)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
41.5% (410)
+8.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
54.0% (6,238)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.7%
44.0%
P2
53.1%
45.3%
P3
52.1%
44.3%
OT
58.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 02:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 02:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |