Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Strome 44.4% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 84.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 84.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 73.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
Strome
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
43.0% (788)
+10.6%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
47.9% (96)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
50.0% (34)
-1.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
56.6% (700)
42.6% (486)
Away
52.1% (655)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
55.4%
41.0%
P2
54.7%
47.8%
P3
52.7%
42.1%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |