Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Larkin
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Larkin
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
39.0% (77)
+12.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
35.4% (48)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
40.9% (22)
+7.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Larkin
Reinhart
Home
52.4% (647)
35.7% (84)
Away
52.7% (643)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Larkin
Reinhart
P1
52.2%
42.6%
P2
53.1%
34.7%
P3
51.7%
37.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |