Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Larkin
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
48.0% (275)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
48.1% (52)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
53.1% (32)
-5.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Larkin
Reinhart
Home
55.6% (662)
49.8% (201)
Away
48.3% (542)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Larkin
Reinhart
P1
49.9%
54.8%
P2
52.7%
40.5%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
OT
68.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |